Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 7.077059 7.844212 8.699920 9.733183 10.957951 12.377402 14.167877
2024-10-06 6.067072 7.124876 8.414500 10.137170 12.434579 15.482329 19.999514
2024-10-13 5.191405 6.297929 7.717863 9.734278 12.634775 16.856811 23.917367
2024-10-20 4.577769 5.682102 7.152139 9.336287 12.666213 17.890621 27.587627
2024-10-27 4.159651 5.261073 6.772589 9.106638 12.851971 19.146460 32.079884
2024-11-03 3.863512 4.968474 6.526734 9.019319 13.216440 20.761435 37.993670
2024-11-10 3.783639 4.965767 6.690007 9.574116 14.746452 24.942650 52.169974
2024-11-17 3.628971 4.836454 6.643569 9.773695 15.680288 28.270477 67.120579
2024-11-24 3.407491 4.587716 6.384656 9.571920 15.803460 29.859814 78.414246
2024-12-01 3.241385 4.409313 6.218992 9.508697 16.186185 32.209843 95.393276
2024-12-08 3.061173 4.196105 5.977791 9.277241 16.170428 33.544491 110.232686
2024-12-15 2.927812 4.046989 5.829383 9.198971 16.472346 35.886335 134.618480
2024-12-22 2.827876 3.954755 5.786066 9.351613 17.423761 40.932918 192.978307
2024-12-29 2.764557 3.918822 5.839451 9.712305 19.008180 49.326184 333.649326
2025-01-05 2.595737 3.698323 5.549478 9.332967 18.626054 50.383521 406.815588
2025-01-12 2.443215 3.495960 5.276838 8.958652 18.182929 51.029189 490.227819
2025-01-19 2.326466 3.346641 5.088725 8.742478 18.129688 53.399413 663.835325
2025-01-26 2.237720 3.239361 4.969087 8.660243 18.439920 57.768077 1064.377666
2025-02-02 2.233149 3.274299 5.113811 9.182362 20.690957 74.669657 5772.324248
2025-02-09 2.186654 3.233609 5.112062 9.369970 21.984923 88.535667 203332.147258
2025-02-16 2.100531 3.118809 4.959210 9.180297 21.972777 93.672401 NaN
2025-02-23 2.034652 3.036572 4.864412 9.120842 22.408622 103.289202 NaN
2025-03-02 1.956273 2.928492 4.712010 8.903084 22.223877 107.625325 NaN